Prediction of Lorenzo Musetti [16th] vs Matteo Arnaldi [40th] Head-to-Head At The 1970
By Wojtek Kolan
Form
L W W L W W W W W L
Form
W W L L W W L W L LHead-To-Head: Musetti 4 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 11 sets in total, with Musetti winning 9 and Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Musetti and Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 14-01-2025, First, Hard with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 4 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0 |
| Musetti | Stats | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| 71% (12-5) | YTD Win/Loss | 50% (8-8) |
| 4 | Head-to-Head | 0 |
| 16 | Ranking | 40 |
| 15 | Highest Rank | 30 |
| 23 | Age | 24 |
| R | Plays | - |
| 6 | Titles | 6 |
| 58% (235-167) | Career Total W/L | 61% (224-142) |
| $5,530,905 | Career Prize Money | $2,239,275 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 1 | Hard H2H | 0 |
| 3 | Clay H2H | 0 |
| 0 | Indoor H2H | 0 |
| 0 | Grass H2H | 0 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 |
Stats 
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
61%
(
89 of
147)
1st Serve %
52%
(
96 of
183)
6
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
13
63%
(
56 of
89)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
60 of
96)
52%
(
30 of
58)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
40 of
87)
32%
(
9 of
28)
Break Points Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
41%
(
61 of
147)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
83 of
183)
169
Total Points Won
161
|
||||
| 6-3 4-6 7-6(6) |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
56%
(
49 of
87)
1st Serve %
61%
(
68 of
112)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
78%
(
38 of
49)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
43 of
68)
47%
(
18 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
22 of
44)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
36%
(
31 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
47 of
112)
103
Total Points Won
96
|
||||
| 6-4 6-4 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
42 of
66)
1st Serve %
57%
(
43 of
75)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
71%
(
30 of
42)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
29 of
43)
67%
(
16 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
16 of
32)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
30%
(
20 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
30 of
75)
76
Total Points Won
65
|
||||
| 6-2 6-0 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63%
(
29 of
46)
1st Serve %
52%
(
23 of
44)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
72%
(
21 of
29)
1st Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
65%
(
11 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
8 of
21)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
5)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
26 of
44)
58
Total Points Won
32
|
||||
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4 | H2H Matches | 0 |
| 9 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 65 | Games Won | 46 |
| 14 | Aces (Total) | 12 |
| 11 | Total Double Faults | 28 |
| 2:21:40 | Average Match Time | 2:21:40 |
| 60% (209/346) | 1st Serve % | 56% (230/414) |
| 69% (145/209) | 1st Serve Win % | 62% (142/230) |
| 55% (75/137) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (86/184) |
| 38% (20/53) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 39% (11/28) |
| 45% (186/414) | Return Points Win % | 36% (126/346) |
| 100% (3/3) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 0% (0/3) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (3/3) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 0% (0/3) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (4/4) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (4/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (4/0) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Musetti 4 - 0 Arnaldi
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Musetti has won 44.28% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 48.7%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Musetti, in recent form, has won 48.45% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 42.86%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.18% and 26.58% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Musetti has saved 59.55% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 55.8% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Musetti has won 67.12% of matches played (W/L 49/ 24), with Arnaldi winning 51.92% (W/L 27/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Musetti has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 128/ 68), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 46% (W/L 33/ 39). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 125/ 65), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/ 25).
- Player level: In the last year, Musetti has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.23% of matches (W/L 18/ 8), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 47.37% of matches (W/L 9/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Musetti winning 4 times and Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Musetti winning 9 and Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Musetti and Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 14-01-2025, First, Hard with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:21:40.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Musetti and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 1 times, with Musetti winning 1 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Musetti winning 3, and Arnaldi 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Musetti has played against opponents with an average rank of 56.96 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 67.46.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Musetti has won 79% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 45% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Musetti has converted 35.95% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 28.57% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
Lorenzo Musetti Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
72%
(
56 of
78)
1st Serve %
63%
(
43 of
68)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
70%
(
39 of
56)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
36%
(
28 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
34 of
68)
84
Total Points Won
62
|
3-6 6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Alex De Minaur
67%
(
62 of
93)
1st Serve %
52%
(
49 of
94)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
60%
(
37 of
62)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
36 of
49)
39%
(
12 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
18 of
45)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
58%
(
7 of
12)
47%
(
44 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
40 of
94)
89
Total Points Won
98
|
1-6 6-4 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
74%
(
75 of
102)
1st Serve %
49%
(
42 of
85)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
7
63%
(
47 of
75)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
56%
(
15 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
23 of
43)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
39%
(
40 of
102)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
34 of
85)
96
Total Points Won
91
|
1-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Berrettini
74%
(
37 of
50)
1st Serve %
68%
(
46 of
68)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
73%
(
27 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
77%
(
10 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
7 of
22)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
26%
(
13 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
30 of
68)
67
Total Points Won
51
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Jiri Lehecka
70%
(
53 of
76)
1st Serve %
57%
(
60 of
105)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
8
60%
(
32 of
53)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
40 of
60)
70%
(
16 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
17 of
45)
22%
(
4 of
18)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
37%
(
28 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
48 of
105)
96
Total Points Won
85
|
1-6 7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Bu Yunchaokete
77%
(
69 of
90)
1st Serve %
55%
(
56 of
101)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
71%
(
49 of
69)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
39 of
56)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
22 of
45)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
33%
(
30 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
40 of
101)
100
Total Points Won
91
|
4-6 7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve %
70%
(
39 of
56)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
24 of
32)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
20 of
39)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
30 of
56)
62
Total Points Won
40
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
65%
(
60 of
93)
1st Serve %
78%
(
70 of
90)
1
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
4
67%
(
40 of
60)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
46 of
70)
61%
(
20 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
8 of
20)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
33 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
36 of
90)
96
Total Points Won
87
|
4-6 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Quentin Halys
66%
(
79 of
120)
1st Serve %
58%
(
61 of
105)
4
Aces
17
3
Double Faults
7
67%
(
53 of
79)
1st Serve Won
82%
(
50 of
61)
61%
(
25 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
20 of
44)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
35%
(
42 of
120)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
35 of
105)
113
Total Points Won
112
|
3-6 7-6(4) 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Arthur Fils
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
63%
(
65 of
103)
1st Serve %
60%
(
54 of
90)
6
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
3
68%
(
44 of
65)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
38 of
54)
53%
(
20 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
19 of
36)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
38%
(
39 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
90)
97
Total Points Won
96
|
3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 | H2H | ||
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Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Richard Gasquet
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
48%
(
48 of
99)
1st Serve %
53%
(
50 of
95)
1
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
34 of
50)
57%
(
29 of
51)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
36%
(
36 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
40 of
95)
103
Total Points Won
91
|
6-3 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
69%
(
53 of
77)
1st Serve %
61%
(
45 of
74)
5
Aces
6
6
Double Faults
3
68%
(
36 of
53)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
29 of
45)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
36%
(
28 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
30 of
74)
79
Total Points Won
72
|
6-2 1-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Yibing Wu
55%
(
50 of
91)
1st Serve %
74%
(
84 of
114)
16
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
0
82%
(
41 of
50)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
56 of
84)
59%
(
24 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
17%
(
2 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
29%
(
26 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
43 of
114)
108
Total Points Won
97
|
7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
27 of
45)
1st Serve %
57%
(
32 of
56)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
89%
(
24 of
27)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
18%
(
8 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
24 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
40
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
43%
(
30 of
70)
1st Serve %
54%
(
33 of
61)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
57%
(
17 of
30)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
55%
(
22 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
44%
(
31 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
31 of
61)
70
Total Points Won
61
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
58%
(
61 of
106)
1st Serve %
58%
(
53 of
92)
7
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
1
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
37 of
53)
53%
(
24 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
19 of
39)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
3 of
15)
39%
(
41 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
36 of
92)
101
Total Points Won
97
|
6-3 5-7 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
63 of
98)
1st Serve %
64%
(
55 of
86)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
78%
(
49 of
63)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
43 of
55)
60%
(
21 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
29%
(
28 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
28%
(
24 of
86)
94
Total Points Won
90
|
6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
62%
(
41 of
66)
1st Serve %
49%
(
31 of
63)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
68%
(
28 of
41)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
20 of
31)
48%
(
12 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
39%
(
26 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
28 of
63)
68
Total Points Won
61
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Brandon Nakashima
57%
(
34 of
60)
1st Serve %
69%
(
47 of
68)
8
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
33 of
47)
81%
(
21 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
11 of
21)
50%
(
1 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
20%
(
12 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
24 of
68)
72
Total Points Won
56
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Learner Tien
65%
(
77 of
119)
1st Serve %
72%
(
78 of
109)
24
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
78%
(
60 of
77)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
52 of
78)
40%
(
17 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
18 of
31)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
4 of
14)
35%
(
42 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
39 of
109)
116
Total Points Won
112
|
7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
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Where To Watch Musetti vs Arnaldi?
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 58% (235/167) | Win/Loss | 61% (224/142) |
| 55% (558/448) | Sets Win/Loss | 59% (521/361) |
| 52% (4977/4608) | Games Win/Loss | 53% (4425/3924) |
| 0.27 | Aces Per Game | 0.35 |
| 1286 | Aces Total | 1419 |
| 0.18 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 838 | Total Double Faults | 1021 |
| 1:49:32 | Average Match Time | 1:43:33 |
| 225.9 | Average Opponent Rank | 299.28 |
| 64% (19076/29703) | 1st Serve % | 59% (14866/25174) |
| 69% (13099/19076) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (10131/14866) |
| 52% (5545/10634) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5169/10303) |
| 42% (1209/2870) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1083/2504) |
| 39% (11853/30245) | Return Points Win % | 40% (9926/24634) |
| 59% (206/349) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 62% (209/338) |
| 56% (28/50) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 46% (11/24) |
| 57% (92/161) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 57% (67/118) |
| 61% (79/129) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (62/121) |
| 86% (211/181) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 84% (226/189) |
| 14% (211/30) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 16% (226/37) |
| 28% (191/53) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (139/33) |
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Matteo Arnaldi
View full predicted draw for Arnaldi in Barcelona
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